Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
This polymarket market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.
Deciding authorityFederal Reserve (FOMC statement and implementation note)
Resolution conditionFed target-range change (hike/cut/emergency action) matching the market condition occurs by the deadline, per the Fed's official rate page.
Publication scheduleFOMC statements 2:00 PM ET on scheduled meeting days; page updates same day
Source-watchableYES — on the wire
Venuepolymarket · market page
Closes2026-12-31
Last price3¢
How the wire watches this market
ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.
→ All markets decided by Federal Reserve (FOMC statement and implementation