Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
This polymarket market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.
Deciding authorityBureau of Labor Statistics CPI releases
Primary sourcehttps://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm
Resolution conditionAny monthly 2026 BLS CPI report shows 12-month inflation above the stated threshold.
Publication scheduleMonthly, 8:30 AM ET
Source-watchableYES — on the wire
Venuepolymarket · market page
Closes2026-12-31
Last price3¢
How the wire watches this market
ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.
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