How Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI releases decides prediction markets

4 prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on publications from Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI releases. The market doesn't decide these outcomes — the document does. ResolutionWire watches the source directly and timestamps the moment each answer exists.

AuthorityBureau of Labor Statistics CPI releases

Publication scheduleMonthly, 8:30 AM ET

Open markets4

Graduated to receipts0

Crowd error at last trade10.2¢ avg (14 settled markets)

Open markets

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01