Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
This polymarket market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.
Deciding authorityBLS Employment Situation (U-3)
Primary sourcehttps://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm
Resolution conditionAny 2026 Employment Situation report shows U-3 at or above the stated threshold.
Publication scheduleMonthly, typically first Friday, 8:30 AM ET
Source-watchableYES — on the wire
Venuepolymarket · market page
Closes2027-02-01
Last price5¢
How the wire watches this market
ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.