How BLS Employment Situation decides prediction markets

5 prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on publications from BLS Employment Situation (U-3). The market doesn't decide these outcomes — the document does. ResolutionWire watches the source directly and timestamps the moment each answer exists.

Open markets

• Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-02-01
• Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-02-01
• Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-02-01
• Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-02-01
• Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-02-01