5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 24, 2026? — 4.26% or above

This kalshi market has settled YES. Below: the source that decided it, and the wire's timestamped record.

RESOLUTIONWIRE · RECEIPT

OUR CALLYES

MARKET AT CALL100¢

DETECTED2026-08-24 19:50Z

SETTLEDYES

VERIFIED ✓

Deciding authorityU.S. Department of the Treasury

Primary sourcehttps://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/

Resolution conditionThe Treasury's published daily par yield for the 5-year tenor on the stated date exceeds the market's strike threshold.

Publication scheduleDaily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates, published each business day ~3:30-4:00 PM ET on treasury.gov

Source-watchableYES — on the wire

Venuekalshi · market page

Settled2026-08-24

How the wire watches this market

ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.

→ All markets decided by U.S. Department of the Treasury