US housing starts for August — Above 1.400M
This kalshi market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.
Deciding authorityU.S. Census Bureau
Primary sourcehttps://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/index.html
Resolution conditionThe Housing Starts figure in the Census New Residential Construction release for the stated month satisfies the strike.
Publication scheduleCensus New Residential Construction, monthly, 8:30 AM ET
Source-watchableYES — on the wire
Venuekalshi · market page
Closes2026-09-17
How the wire watches this market
ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.