How U.S. Census Bureau decides prediction markets
15 prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on publications from U.S. Census Bureau. The market doesn't decide these outcomes — the document does. ResolutionWire watches the source directly and timestamps the moment each answer exists.
AuthorityU.S. Census Bureau
Publication scheduleCensus Construction Spending, monthly, 10:00 AM ET, ~first business day
Open markets15
Graduated to receipts0
Open markets
- US private data center construction spending in July — Above $65.0B
- US housing starts for August — Above 1.150M
- US private data center construction spending in July — Above $67.5B
- US private data center construction spending in July — Above $70.0B
- US private data center construction spending in July — Above $72.5B
- US private data center construction spending in July — Above $75.0B
- US private data center construction spending in July — Above $77.5B
- US private data center construction spending in July — Above $80.0B
- US housing starts for August — Above 1.200M
- US housing starts for August — Above 1.250M
- US housing starts for August — Above 1.300M
- US housing starts for August — Above 1.350M
- US housing starts for August — Above 1.400M
- US housing starts for August — Above 1.450M
- US housing starts for August — Above 1.500M