Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting? — Above 5.25%

This kalshi market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.

Deciding authorityFederal Reserve (FOMC statement and implementation note)

Primary sourcehttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases.htm

Resolution conditionThe FOMC statement published after the Sep 16, 2026 meeting shows the specified rate decision, target range, or dissent detail.

Publication scheduleFOMC statement, 2:00 PM ET on scheduled meeting days (next: Sep 16, 2026)

Source-watchableYES — on the wire

Venuekalshi · market page

Closes2026-09-16

How the wire watches this market

ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.

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