August 2026 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP — U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above
This kalshi market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.
Deciding authorityBureau of Labor Statistics
Primary sourcehttps://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.toc.htm
Resolution conditionThe specified figure in the BLS Employment Situation release for the stated month satisfies the strike condition.
Publication scheduleBLS Employment Situation, monthly, typically first Friday, 8:30 AM ET
Source-watchableYES — on the wire
Venuekalshi · market page
Closes2026-09-04
How the wire watches this market
ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.