Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.5%
This kalshi market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.
Deciding authorityBureau of Labor Statistics
Primary sourcehttps://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.toc.htm
Resolution conditionThe specified CPI figure or average-price series in the BLS Consumer Price Index release for the stated month satisfies the strike condition.
Publication scheduleBLS CPI release, monthly, 8:30 AM ET
Source-watchableYES — on the wire
Venuekalshi · market page
Closes2026-09-11
How the wire watches this market
ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.