How U.S. Treasury Daily Par Yield Curve decides prediction markets
14 prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on publications from U.S. Treasury Daily Par Yield Curve (10 Yr column). The market doesn't decide these outcomes — the document does. ResolutionWire watches the source directly and timestamps the moment each answer exists.
AuthorityU.S. Treasury Daily Par Yield Curve (10 Yr column)
Publication scheduleEach business day ~3:30-4:00 PM ET
Open markets14
Graduated to receipts0
Crowd error at last trade4.4¢ avg (60 settled markets)
Open markets
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?