Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
This polymarket market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.
Deciding authorityBitcoin blockchain / Bitcoin Core repository; credible reporting
Primary sourcehttps://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin
Resolution conditionThe specified Bitcoin protocol change (SHA-256 replacement / BIP-360) is implemented on the network before the deadline.
Source-watchableYES — on the wire
Venuepolymarket · market page
Closes2026-12-31
Last price2¢
How the wire watches this market
ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.
→ All markets decided by Bitcoin blockchain / Bitcoin Core repository; cred