Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?
This polymarket market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.
Deciding authorityU.S. Treasury debt-to-the-penny API (treasurydirect.gov)
Primary sourcehttps://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current
Resolution conditionTotal US national debt reaches the stated threshold per the TreasuryDirect current-debt API.
Publication scheduleUpdated each business day
Source-watchableYES — on the wire
Venuepolymarket · market page
Closes2026-12-31
Last price56¢
How the wire watches this market
ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.
→ All markets decided by U.S. Treasury debt-to-the-penny API (treasurydirec