Initial jobless claims for the week ending August 22, 2026 — At least 205,000
This kalshi market is decided by a published document — not by opinion. Here is exactly what resolves it, where, and when.
Deciding authorityU.S. Department of Labor — Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims
Primary sourcehttps://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
Resolution conditionThe advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims in the DOL weekly release is at least 205,000.
Publication scheduleWeekly, Thursdays 8:30 AM ET
Source-watchableYES — on the wire
Venuekalshi · market page
Closes2026-08-27
How the wire watches this market
ResolutionWire polls the deciding source directly, with burst polling around the scheduled publication. The moment the answer publishes, the wire records the implied outcome, the exact UTC timestamp, and the market's live price — before settlement, never after. Every record is hash-chained daily and graded against the venue's official result.
→ All markets decided by U.S. Department of Labor — Unemployment Insurance