How U.S. Treasury Monthly Treasury Statement decides prediction markets
1 prediction market across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on publications from U.S. Treasury Monthly Treasury Statement (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The market doesn't decide these outcomes — the document does. ResolutionWire watches the source directly and timestamps the moment each answer exists.
AuthorityU.S. Treasury Monthly Treasury Statement (fiscaldata.treasury.gov)
Publication scheduleMTS published monthly, ~8th business day
Open markets1
Graduated to receipts0
Crowd error at last trade4.4¢ avg (60 settled markets)