How SEC EDGAR decides prediction markets

22 prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on publications from SEC EDGAR (S-1/pricing) and listing exchanges; credible reporting. The market doesn't decide these outcomes — the document does. ResolutionWire watches the source directly and timestamps the moment each answer exists.

AuthoritySEC EDGAR (S-1/pricing) and listing exchanges; credible reporting

Open markets22

Graduated to receipts0

Open markets

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Discord IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Stripe IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Ramp IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Celonis IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Vanta IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Anduril IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
OpenAI IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Brex IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Rippling IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Remote IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Deel IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Anthropic IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Glean IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Databricks IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01