How Federal Reserve / FDIC / U.S. Treasury official actions decides prediction markets

5 prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on publications from Federal Reserve / FDIC / U.S. Treasury official actions. The market doesn't decide these outcomes — the document does. ResolutionWire watches the source directly and timestamps the moment each answer exists.

AuthorityFederal Reserve / FDIC / U.S. Treasury official actions

Open markets5

Graduated to receipts0

Crowd error at last trade4.4¢ avg (60 settled markets)

Open markets

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Fed abolished before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? polymarket · closes 2027-01-01