How Credible reporting decides prediction markets
1 prediction market across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on publications from Credible reporting; any US listing is preceded by SEC EDGAR filings (S-1, pricing) and exchange notices. The market doesn't decide these outcomes — the document does. ResolutionWire watches the source directly and timestamps the moment each answer exists.
AuthorityCredible reporting; any US listing is preceded by SEC EDGAR filings (S-1, pricing) and exchange notices
Open markets1
Graduated to receipts0